PCPT Prostate Cancer Risk Calculator

The PCPT Prostate Cancer Risk Calculator estimates your 10-year risk of prostate cancer based on age, PSA levels, family history, and race. This tool helps men and doctors make informed choices about screening and biopsy needs. Use it to assess your risk before a check-up, decide on testing frequency, or understand your specific health factors. It offers a quick, evidence-based look at your prostate health.

Enter your current age (40-80 years)
Prostate Specific Antigen blood test result
First-degree relatives include father, brother, or son
Select your racial/ethnic background
Number of previous negative prostate biopsies
Results from your most recent digital rectal exam

How 10-Year Risk Is Calculated

Your 10-year risk represents the statistical probability of being diagnosed with prostate cancer within the next decade. This calculation relies on the PCPT Logistic Regression Model, which uses data from large-scale clinical trials to weigh different risk factors.

Risk % = (exp(Score) / (1 + exp(Score))) × 100

Where Score =

  • -11.16 + (0.07 × Age)
  • + (1.66 × ln(PSA))
  • + (0.71 × Family History)
  • + Race Factor + Biopsy Factor
  • + (0.98 × Digital Rectal Exam)

The process converts your PSA level using a natural logarithm to handle large variations. It then assigns specific weights to factors like a family history of cancer or abnormal exam results. These numbers combine to create a score that converts into a percentage.

This method is highly accurate for screening purposes and is widely accepted by the medical community for assessing prostate health risks.

What Your 10-Year Risk Means

This percentage shows how likely you are to develop prostate cancer compared to the average population. It helps you and your doctor decide if you need further testing or simply routine monitoring.

Low Risk (Under 5%): Your risk is lower than average. You should continue regular screening schedules as recommended by your doctor, usually every few years, depending on your age.

Moderate Risk (5% to 15%): Your risk is elevated. Discuss more frequent PSA testing or other diagnostic options with your healthcare provider to catch any changes early.

High Risk (Over 15%): Your risk is significantly higher than the general population. Your doctor may recommend a prostate biopsy to check for cancer cells immediately.

Important: This tool is for screening only and cannot diagnose prostate cancer. These estimates are based on group statistics and may not predict individual outcomes perfectly. Always consult a healthcare professional for medical advice and diagnosis.

Track your PSA levels over time instead of relying on a single test result, as trends often provide more insight than one number.